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Electing an Enlarged Welsh Assembly
Simon King
University College, London WC1H 9EZ
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C.
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Outcome for 80 seats Assembly assuming cotes cast
as in 2003
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Lab |
Con |
LibD |
PC |
Green |
UKIP |
Other |
LSI |
| Actual Seats |
30
|
11 |
6 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
| Constituency Seats |
30 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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List Seats
% Constituency Vote |
0
40.0% |
10
19.1% |
3
14.1% |
7
21.2% |
0
0.0% |
0
2.3% |
0
2.4% |
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| % List Vote |
36.6% |
19.2% |
12.7% |
19.7% |
3.5% |
3.5% |
5.3% |
10.3 |
| 1. 80 seats (FPTP) |
60 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
2* |
30.47 |
| 2a 40 2AMs 2 vote (FPTP) |
60 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
2* |
30.47 |
| 2b 40 2AMs 1 vote (FPTP) |
43 |
15 |
6 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13.18 |
| 2c (A) 40 2AMs (STV) |
41 |
14 |
17 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14.76 |
| 2c (B) 40 2AMs (STV) |
47 |
11 |
8 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16.85 |
| 3. 40 const + reg. list |
35 |
15 |
11 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
2* |
6.33 |
| 4. 40 const + 40 nat.list |
30 |
16 |
10 |
16 |
2 |
2 |
4* |
1.38 |
| 5. 60 const + 20 reg.list |
45 |
11 |
8 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14.98 |
| 6. 80 seats on national list strictly proportional |
29 |
15 |
10 |
16 |
3 |
3 |
4* |
0.51 |
| 7. 80 seats on national list (d'Hondt divisor) |
30 |
16 |
10 |
16 |
2 |
2 |
4* |
1.38 |
| 8. 80 seats on national list (modified Sainte Lägue
divisor) |
29 |
15 |
10 |
16 |
3 |
3 |
4* |
0.51 |
| * On the impropable assumption that all
'Others' formed one ticket |
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