Electing an Enlarged Welsh Assembly

Simon King
University College, London WC1H 9EZ

 

C.

Outcome for 80 seats Assembly assuming cotes cast as in 2003

  Lab Con LibD PC Green UKIP Other LSI
Actual Seats

30

11 6 12 0 0 1  
Constituency Seats 30 1 3 5 0 0 1    
List Seats
% Constituency Vote
0
40.0%
10
19.1%
3
14.1%
7
21.2%
0
0.0%
0
2.3%
0
2.4%
 
% List Vote 36.6% 19.2% 12.7% 19.7% 3.5% 3.5% 5.3% 10.3
1. 80 seats (FPTP) 60 2 6 10 0 0 2* 30.47
2a 40 2AMs 2 vote (FPTP) 60 2 6 10 0 0 2* 30.47
2b 40 2AMs 1 vote (FPTP) 43 15 6 15 0 0 1 13.18
2c (A) 40 2AMs (STV) 41 14 17 7 0 0 1 14.76
2c (B) 40 2AMs (STV) 47 11 8 13 0 0 1 16.85
3. 40 const + reg. list 35 15 11 17 0 0 2* 6.33
4. 40 const + 40 nat.list 30 16 10 16 2 2 4* 1.38
5. 60 const + 20 reg.list 45 11 8 15 0 0 1 14.98
6. 80 seats on national list strictly proportional 29 15 10 16 3 3 4* 0.51
7. 80 seats on national list (d'Hondt divisor) 30 16 10 16 2 2 4* 1.38
8. 80 seats on national list (modified Sainte Lägue divisor) 29 15 10 16 3 3 4* 0.51
* On the impropable assumption that all 'Others' formed one ticket