Electing an Enlarged Welsh Assembly

Simon King
University College, London WC1H 9EZ

B.

Outcome for 80 seat Assembly assuming vote as in 2001

  Lab Con LibD PC Other

LSI

Seats 34 0 2 4 0  
% Vote 48.6% 21.0% 13.8% 14.3% 3.3% 11.21
1. 80 seats (FPTP) 68 0 4 8 0 30.51
2a. 40 2AMs 1 vote (FPTP) 55 12 2 11 0 16.88
2c (A) 40 2AMs (STV) 37 7 6 30 0 19.15
2c (B) 40 2AMs (STV) 39 2 3 36 0 26.32
3. 40 const + 40 reg.list 42 16 11 11 0 2.87
4. 40 const + 40 nat list 39 17 11 11 2 1.07
5. 60 const + 20 reg.list 43 13 9 15 0 11.93
6. 80 seats on national list strictly proportional 38 17 11 11 3* 0.88
7. 80 seats on national list (d'Hondt divisior) 39 17 11 11 2* 0.44
8. 80 seats on national list (modified Sainte Lägue divisor) 38 17 11 11 3* 0.88
* On the improbable assumption that all 'Others' formed one ticket