Electing an Enlarged Welsh Assembly

Simon King
University College, London WC1H 9EZ

A.

Outcome for 80 seat Assembly assuming votes cast as in 1999

   Lab Con LibD PC Other LSI
Actual Seats 28 9 6 17 0   
Constituency Seats 27 1 3 9 0   
List Seats
% Constituency Vote
1
37.6%
8
15.8%
3
13.5%
8
28.4%
0
4.7%
  
% List Vote 35.5% 16.5% 12.5% 30.6% 5.1% 8.37
1. 80 seats (FPTP) 54 2 6 18 0 25.59
2a. 40 2AMs2 vote (FPTP) 54 2 6 18 0 25.59
2b. 40 2AMs 1 vote (FPTP) 43 9 4 24 0 14.44
2c (A) 40 2AMs (STV) 37 15 4 24 0 9.41
2c (B) 40 2AMs (STV) 39 2 3 36 0 18.10
3. 40 const. + 40 reg.list 30 14 9 27 0 2.87
4. 40 const + 40 nat.list 29 13 10 25 3* 0.72
5. 60 const. + 20 reg.list 41 11 8 20 0 12.10
6. 80 seats on national liststrictly proportional 28 13 10 25 4* 0.60
7. 80 seats on national list
(d'Hondt divisor)
29 13 10 25 3* 0.72
8. 80 seats on national list (modified Sainte Lägue divisor) 28 13 10 25 4* 0.60
* On the improbable assumption that all 'Others' formed one ticket