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Richard's Commission

"All political success is based on the indifference of the majority"

It may seem strange to start with such a quote, but it is somewhat relevant in the light of the 2003 National Assembly for Wales elections.
In my travels through Wales and in my discussions with a vast cross-section of the population, matters of Assembly assessment, performance, size, effectiveness, power, - all remain encompassed under the worrying shadow of electorate apathy, indifference and, in some cases, cynicism.
It is this shadow, and how to combat it, that remains a dominating and debilitating weight of concern.
The two distinct elements, within the brief of the Richard's Commission relating to a) powers and b) the electoral arrangements, can be considered but how legitimate will the consideration be when so many have disengaged themselves from the process of democracy, is a question that has to be seriously addressed.
The date for accepting comment on the powers of the National Assembly has passed, but the well of opinion I have encountered in my 'mixing and mingling' is as relevant for considering the electoral arrangements as it was for the matter of powers.
I say at the outset that I voted for the National Assembly and I am a supporter of it.  I favour more power for the Assembly, along the Scottish model, with modifications.  I also believe that in view of recent events and central government thinking that extra power is inevitable.  It seems to be the next, natural, logical step.
This will, of course, result in an increased Assembly representation number and there-in lies a problem, for all is not well 'out there'.   There seems to be layers of electorate reaction, from cold apathy, to a warmer response from the cynical, and on to others where the response is 'viperish'.
I have endeavoured to unfold the reactions and opinions that I have encountered in the following points, but I stress that these reactions come from the 'chattering' classes and, compared to those who are totally apathetic, are in the minority.
1.  It is difficult for the lay-person, outside the governmental, legislative, administrative and bureaucratic machine, to assess meaningfully the questions of member numbers and their work load.
2.  Whether by media scrutiny and slant or because of poor Assembly PR and marketing, people react to what appears to them to be tangible and, in some cases, questionable eg.
a.  The growth of the bureaucratic machine
b.  Escalating cost of the machine
c.  Poor service and waiting lists
d.  AM Holidays (Constituency time)
e.  Working hours
f.  Debating hours
g.  Rapid legislation following elections on improved pay for some AMs.
h.  Safeguarded pensions for AMs at a time of failing pension schemes elsewhere
3.  The images and perception within the minds of many mean that the Local Authorities and the Assembly sometimes get blurred.  People notice the growth in council bureaucracy and consider the burgeoning bills in Community Charges and reaction becomes a 'spray' of frustration.  The Thursday 'Western Mail' jobs section becomes a 'wonderland' of public appointments - a bureaucratic juggernaut with no brakes on it.  The Assembly and the County Boroughs are all, to them, part of 'the system'.
4.  In broadcasting, I am not of the 'journalistic wing' but, because I'm with the BBC, opinion has been shovelled at me as a kind of blessed release.  Indeed, some of the environments and venues, in which I have found myself, formal or informal, would have added a great deal of colour to 'Question Time' on the television.  In fact, 'Question Time' or similar programmes should settle for the odd 'club and institute' as a venue on occasions - feed back would be assured, albeit graphic.   'Apathy' would be hard put to sustain itself in the face of onslaught.  Much of the reaction, of course, is driven by incorrect information - urban myth, and exaggerated tale so this has to be addressed and remedied.
5.  In the light of incorrect information or lack of information, there cannot be reasoned assessment of member numbers, increased representaion, increased cost and effective workload - not from large swathes of the electorate.
It appears that only those 'close to the fire', who live and breathe politics in Wales, can objectively assess the way forward.  Those who are at the back of the kitchen or possibly not even under the same roof cannot realistically contribute.  The issues and questions for consultation are too inaccessible, yet the electorate should be involved, possibly by referendum.  Somehow the essential elements, the key issues have to be laid before the disaffected - in a clear, ordered manner, with vigour, energy and in scenarios that appeal.  Essays need to be avoided, booklets should become pamphlets, paragraphs need to become points.  Extra cost and job number expansion must be justified by convincing argument.
The Assembly, in its first term, has produced populist, innovative legislation, but for many it has not received that stamp of full approval - respect.  It needs respect.  Electorate apathy, of course, could allow the Assembly to move forward in a manner it deems fitting, without seeking a popular mandate.   After all, it was elected to 'govern' and yet, is that more acceptable ... There is an influential minority who state that many of the Assembly's frustrations are the result of contained power.  "Now, if only we had the power Scotland has..." is a cry often heard.  So, let's have extra power but let's be convincing in the vision.   To many people in Wales, the Assembly is a remote club in the bay.   Incredibly, to them, a place of privilege and personal enhancement.  That incorrect and destructive image and perception has to change.
To truly have extra power and the enlargement in member numbers with obvious extra cost, the package must be sold to a public that, in large numbers, remains sceptical.  Politicians at all levels are not in the 'first division' of the 'esteem leagues', which is an awful pity at a time when Wales stands at the door leading to so many possibilities.  How to draw in the Electorate closer to the fire is something that should tak a 'think tank' for some time - and time is a luxury in view of all that is happening in Europe at present.  Wales needs to be on the 'European Tour', but will we miss the bus, I wonder?
If the Commission wishes to discuss the points I have encountered, then I will be pleased to make myself available.
Roy Noble OBE